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Tropical Storm Narda Forecast Advisory Number 4
2019-09-29 10:31:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019 863 WTPZ21 KNHC 290831 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162019 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 101.0W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 100SE 60SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 330SE 240SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 101.0W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 100.7W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.4N 102.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 100SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.3N 104.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 90SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.3N 106.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.8N 107.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 25.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 26.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 27.5N 110.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 101.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 29/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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