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Tropical Storm Nate Forecast Advisory Number 9
2017-10-06 16:47:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 06 2017 000 WTNT21 KNHC 061447 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162017 1500 UTC FRI OCT 06 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER. A STORM SURGE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...AND FOR THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SHORES OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS...AND FROM WEST OF GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE. A STORM SURGE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT EAST OF THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVENCE OF PINAR DEL RIO AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PROVENCE OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH. THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER * NORTHERN AND WESTERN SHORES OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA HERRERO TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO * PINAR DEL RIO * METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS * WEST OF GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA HERRERO TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO * METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS * EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE * WEST OF GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA * WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA * ISLE OF YOUTH A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN WESTERN CUBA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NATE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 85.0W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 85.0W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 84.7W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.3N 86.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.8N 88.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 28.1N 89.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.1N 88.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 37.5N 80.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 42.0N 70.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 85.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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