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Tropical Storm Nora Forecast Advisory Number 5
2021-08-26 22:37:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 262036 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO MANZANILLO MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TECPAN DE GALEANA TO MANZANILLO MEXICO A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NORA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 101.7W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 101.7W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 101.1W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.1N 102.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.3N 103.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.8N 104.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.6N 105.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.3N 106.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.6N 107.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 23.6N 110.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 25.2N 111.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 101.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 27/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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