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Tropical Storm OLAF Forecast Advisory Number 12
2015-10-17 22:32:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 17 2015 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 172032 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 2100 UTC SAT OCT 17 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 130.5W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 130.5W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 130.0W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 9.3N 131.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 9.8N 133.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 10.3N 135.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 11.0N 136.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 12.9N 139.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 15.2N 142.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 17.3N 142.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.2N 130.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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