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Tropical Storm PATRICIA Forecast Advisory Number 3
2015-10-21 04:33:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED OCT 21 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 210233 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 0300 UTC WED OCT 21 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PATRICIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 95.3W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 95.3W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 95.0W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 13.0N 96.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 13.3N 98.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.2N 100.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.5N 102.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.8N 103.7W...INLAND NEAR COAST MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 22.6N 105.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 95.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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