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Tropical Storm Priscilla Public Advisory Number 1A
2019-10-20 13:45:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 201145 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Priscilla Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192019 700 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 104.0W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Priscilla was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 104.0 West. Priscilla is is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Priscilla will approach the southwestern coast of Mexico within the warning area later today, and move inland by tonight. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional slight strengthening is possible before Priscilla moves inland. Rapid weakening and dissipation is expected after landfall. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Priscilla is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with local amounts to 15 inches, across portions of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacan in southwestern Mexico through Tuesday night. This rainfall could produce flash flooding and mudslides within steep terrain. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within a portion of the warning area later today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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