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Tropical Storm RICK Forecast Advisory Number 5
2015-11-19 15:42:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU NOV 19 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 191442 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212015 1500 UTC THU NOV 19 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 105.8W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 105.8W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 105.7W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.2N 106.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.2N 108.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.1N 110.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.7N 112.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.0N 113.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 20.9N 114.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 105.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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