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Tropical Storm Raymond Public Advisory Number 5
2019-11-16 03:34:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM MST Fri Nov 15 2019 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 160234 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Raymond Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202019 800 PM MST Fri Nov 15 2019 ...RAYMOND MAINTAINS INTENSITY AS IT CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.4N 109.8W ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of Raymond. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Raymond was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 109.8 West. Raymond is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn to the north is expected on Saturday, and this general motion is expected to continue for a couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Raymond is expected to be near the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula late Sunday or early Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is forecast through early Saturday, followed by a gradual weakening trend beginning by Saturday night. Raymond is then expected to degenerate into a remnant low on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Latto
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