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Tropical Storm Rick Public Advisory Number 2A
2021-10-23 01:38:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Fri Oct 22 2021 000 WTPZ32 KNHC 222338 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rick Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172021 700 PM CDT Fri Oct 22 2021 ...RICK STRENGTHENS WHILE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD SOUTH OF THE COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.2N 101.3W ABOUT 460 MI...745 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Zihuatanejo to Punta San Telmo A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Zihuatanejo to Tecpan de Galeana * West of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. A Hurricane Warning and a Tropical Storm Warning will likely be required tonight or tomorrow morning for portions of the current watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rick was located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 101.3 West. Rick is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn to the northwest is expected tonight, followed by a north-northwestward motion beginning by Saturday night. On the forecast track, the system would be approaching the coast of southwestern Mexico late this weekend. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Rick is expected to become a hurricane by Saturday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area by late Sunday, with tropical storm conditions possible by Sunday afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch areas by Sunday afternoon. STORM SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where the center of Rick makes landfall in southwestern Mexico. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Rick will produce 5 to 10 inches of rain with isolated storm total amounts of 15 inches across coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, and Colima starting Saturday night. This will likely produce flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Rick will begin to affect portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico beginning by late Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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