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Tropical Storm SIMON Forecast Advisory Number 5

2014-10-02 22:49:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 02 2014 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 022049 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 2100 UTC THU OCT 02 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 108.0W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 108.0W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 107.6W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.6N 109.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.7N 112.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.7N 114.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 25.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 108.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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