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Tropical Storm SONIA Public Advisory Number 12
2013-11-04 03:31:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 PM PST SUN NOV 03 2013 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 040231 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM SONIA ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182013 700 PM PST SUN NOV 03 2013 ...SONIA WEAKENS A LITTLE AS IT APPROACHES MAINLAND MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 PM PST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.2N 108.1W ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM E OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM SSW OF CULIACAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MAZATLAN TO ALTATA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND ELSEWHERE IN WEST-CENTRAL MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 PM PST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SONIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST. SONIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SONIA SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL SLIGHT WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE SONIA REACHES THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO...AND RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL. SONIA IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER MEXICO ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. RAINFALL...SONIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...IN PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA...WESTERN DURANGO...AND SOUTHERN CHIHUAHUA. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1000 PM PST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...100 AM PST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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