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Tropical Storm Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 4
2018-09-30 10:53:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018 611 WTPZ21 KNHC 300853 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0900 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 104.3W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 104.3W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 103.8W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 12.0N 105.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.9N 108.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 11.6N 110.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 11.7N 112.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.0N 115.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 15.2N 118.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 17.1N 120.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 104.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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