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Tropical Storm Sergio Public Advisory Number 42
2018-10-09 22:54:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Oct 09 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 092054 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number 42 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 200 PM PDT Tue Oct 09 2018 ...SERGIO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 126.5W ABOUT 1155 MI...1855 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of Sergio. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 126.5 West. Sergio is moving toward the east-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). An east- northeastward to northeastward motion with a faster forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Sergio will approach the Pacific coast of the Baja California peninsula on Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall associated with Sergio and its remnants is expected to produce storm total accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with local amounts to 10 inches in northern Baja California Sur and Sonora in Mexico as well as the Southern Plains and Ozarks of the United States through Sunday. This could lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides within mountainous terrain. SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula by Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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