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Tropical Storm Sergio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 44
2018-10-10 10:42:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 10 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 100841 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0900 UTC WED OCT 10 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) X(14) X(14) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) 36(54) X(54) X(54) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) X(16) X(16) P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) X(25) X(25) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) X(29) X(29) HERMOSILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) X(29) X(29) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BAHIA KINO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 46(47) X(47) X(47) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 60(64) 3(67) X(67) X(67) 25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 25(25) 3(28) X(28) X(28) 25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 120W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 4 72(76) 2(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 20N 120W 50 X 36(36) 3(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) 20N 120W 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 25N 120W 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 125W 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 125W 34 10 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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