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Tropical Storm VANCE Forecast Advisory Number 8
2014-11-01 03:32:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT NOV 01 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 010232 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 0300 UTC SAT NOV 01 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 101.8W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 101.8W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 101.5W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 9.5N 103.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 10.0N 105.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 11.1N 107.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 12.6N 109.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.5N 110.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.1N 108.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 24.3N 105.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.5N 101.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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