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Tropical Storm VANCE Public Advisory Number 11

2014-11-01 21:37:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT SAT NOV 01 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 012037 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 200 PM PDT SAT NOV 01 2014 ...VANCE SLOWLY ORGANIZING AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.1N 104.4W ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST. VANCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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