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Tropical Storm Xavier Public Advisory Number 12A
2018-11-05 18:44:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 AM MST Mon Nov 05 2018 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 051743 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Xavier Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP252018 1100 AM MST Mon Nov 05 2018 ...XAVIER GRADUALLY PULLING AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY SHOWERS WINDING DOWN ALONG THE COASTS OF COLIMA AND JALISCO... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM MST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.7N 106.5W ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula, Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM MST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 106.5 West. Xavier is moving a little bit faster toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and an additional increase in forward speed is expected later today. A westward motion is forecast by early Tuesday, continuing through Thursday. On the forecast track, Xavier's center is expected to continue moving farther away from the southwestern coast of Mexico today. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Xavier is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Xavier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Colima and Jalisco, with isolated maximum amounts of 4 inches possible. This rainfall may produce flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are still possible within the warning area during the next few hours. SURF: Swells generated by Xavier will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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