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Tropical Depression Nine-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

2021-08-01 04:38:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 01 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 010238 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092021 0300 UTC SUN AUG 01 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Summary for Tropical Depression Nine-E (EP4/EP092021)

2021-08-01 04:38:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...STATIONARY DEPRESSION REMAINS VERY DISORGANIZED... As of 5:00 PM HST Sat Jul 31 the center of Nine-E was located near 11.5, -127.5 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

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Tropical Depression Nine-E Public Advisory Number 6

2021-08-01 04:38:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 500 PM HST Sat Jul 31 2021 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 010237 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nine-E Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092021 500 PM HST Sat Jul 31 2021 ...STATIONARY DEPRESSION REMAINS VERY DISORGANIZED... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.5N 127.5W ABOUT 1400 MI...2255 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine-E was located near latitude 11.5 North, longitude 127.5 West. Little movement is expected overnight. A slow westward to west-northwestward motion is anticipated beginning Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days. The depression could become a remnant low or dissipate at any time during the next three days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Tropical Depression Nine-E Forecast Advisory Number 6

2021-08-01 04:36:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 01 2021 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 010236 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092021 0300 UTC SUN AUG 01 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 127.5W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 127.5W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 127.5W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 11.8N 128.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 12.2N 131.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 12.5N 133.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 12.9N 134.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.5N 135.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 14.5N 138.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 15.5N 141.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 127.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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