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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-14 19:47:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of El Salvador is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just offshore the coast of Guatemala and Mexico. By late this week, proximity to land could inhibit further development. Heavy rainfall that is currently occurring across Nicaragua and Honduras is forecast to spread westward over El Salvador and Guatemala tonight and Tuesday, and into southern Mexico by Wednesday. These rains could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
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pacific
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-14 13:33:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141133 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Oct 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of Baja California Sur, the Gulf of California, and western Mexico are associated with an elongated area of low pressure. Upper-level winds have increased over the system, and the low has moved over cooler waters. Therefore, development is no longer anticipated. However, heavy rainfall associated with this system is likely to continue across portions of Baja California Sur, southern Sonora, and northern Sinaloa through today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just offshore the coast of Mexico. By late this week, the proximity to land could inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-14 07:34:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 140534 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of Baja California Sur, the Gulf of California, and western Mexico are associated with an elongated area of low pressure. Upper-level winds are increasing over the system, and the chances for significant development continue to decrease as the low moves slowly north-northeastward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with this system is likely to continue across portions of Baja California Sur, southern Sonora, and northern Sinaloa through Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just offshore the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-14 01:41:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132341 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains broad and elongated without a well-defined center, according to recent satellite-derived wind data. Upper-level winds are increasing over this system, and the chances for significant development continue to decrease as the low moves slowly north-northeastward. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of Baja California Sur, southern Sonora, and northern Sinaloa through Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is expected over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just offshore the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 19:41:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131741 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California remains broad and elongated. Although the window of opportunity for development is decreasing, a tropical depression could still form by tonight while the system moves north-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph. On Monday, however, additional development is not anticipated due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. Regardless of development, this system is forecast to produce heavy rainfall across the southern Baja California peninsula today and continuing into Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is expected over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by midweek while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just offshore the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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