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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 13:48:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131147 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Although the window of opportunity for development is decreasing, a tropical depression could still form later today while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By tonight or Monday, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is possible over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by midweek while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 07:06:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 130506 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite images indicate that the circulation of a low pressure area a few hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains elongated, and the system does not have a well-defined center. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is still not well organized. Although the window of opportunity for development is decreasing, a tropical depression could still form on Sunday while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By Sunday night or Monday, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forming a couple of hundred miles west of the the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 01:32:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 122331 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Recent satellite data indicate that the wind field of a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains elongated, and the system does not have a well-defined center. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not increased in organization. Although the window of opportunity for development is decreasing, a tropical depression is still likely to form by tonight or on Sunday while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By Sunday night or Monday, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forming a couple of hundred miles west of the the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-12 19:29:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121729 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with an elongated area of low pressure. Although shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little over the past several hours, a tropical depression is still expected to form tonight or on Sunday while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By Monday, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of southeastern Mexico early next week. Gradual development of this system is possible after that time, and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A small low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce limited shower activity, and strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent development of a tropical cyclone. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-12 13:44:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121144 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with an elongated area of low pressure. Shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little better organized this morning, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or so while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By early next week, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing limited shower activity. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit development of this system during the next couple of days while the low moves little, and tropical cyclone formation is becoming less likely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of southeastern Mexico early next week. Gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves west-northwestward just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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