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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-16 01:15:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152315 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Oct 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 80 miles south of coast of the Mexico/Guatemala border are beginning to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form tonight or early Wednesday while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, toward the coast of southeastern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall currently occurring across El Salvador and Guatemala is forecast to spread westward over southern Mexico later tonight and Wednesday. These rains could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. A Tropical Storm Watch or Warning could be required for a portion of the southeastern coast of Mexico tonight or early Wednesday. Interests in those areas should should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a trough of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
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pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-15 19:31:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151731 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have become more concentrated during the past several hours near an elongated area of low pressure located about 100 miles south-southwest of the coast of Guatemala. Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form tonight or on Wednesday while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, toward the coast of southeastern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall currently occurring across Costa Rica, Nicaragua, Honduras and El Salvador is forecast to spread westward over Guatemala tonight, and across southern Mexico on Wednesday. These rains could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. Interests in southeastern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a surface trough of low pressure. Some development of this system is possible during the next few days while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-15 13:27:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151127 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Oct 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of Guatemala. Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near the coast of southeastern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall currently occurring across Costa Rica, Nicaragua, Honduras and El Salvador is forecast to spread westward over Guatemala today, and across southern Mexico by Wednesday. These rains could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. Interests in southeastern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a surface trough of low pressure. Some development of this system is possible during the next few days while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-15 07:45:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 150545 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Oct 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have increased near a broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala. This system has become better organized since yesterday, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves west- northwestward at about 10 mph close to or over the coast of southeastern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall currently occurring across Costa Rica, Nicaragua, Honduras and El Salvador is forecast to spread westward over Guatemala on Tuesday, and across southern Mexico by Wednesday. These rains could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. Interests in southeastern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system, and tropical storm watches or warnings are likely going to be required for a portion of that area on Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms centered about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a surface trough. Some development of this system is possible in a few days while the system drifts southward or eastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-15 01:33:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 142333 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Oct 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of El Salvador is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is likely, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just offshore the coast of Guatemala and southern Mexico. By late this week, proximity to land could inhibit further development. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall currently occurring across Costa Rica, Nicaragua and Honduras is forecast to spread westward over El Salvador and Guatemala tonight and Tuesday, and into southern Mexico by Wednesday. These rains could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. Interests along the coasts of Guatemala and southern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system in case tropical cyclone warnings are required for portions of theses areas later tonight or on Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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