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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-25 13:44:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 251144 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Sep 25 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better organized this morning. Additional gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form within a couple hundred miles of the southern coast of Mexico during the next few days. A tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-25 07:45:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 250545 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Sep 24 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A weak area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce limited showers and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is not expected while it slowly moves northward for the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A broad area of low pressure several hundred miles south-southwest of southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is generating disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form within a couple hundred miles of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. A tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky/Ramos

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-25 01:08:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 242308 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Sep 24 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Tropical Storm Kiko, which has moved into the central Pacific basin. The next advisory will be issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center at 5 PM HST. A weak area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing limited showers and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is not expected while it moves northward at 5 to 10 mph through Wednesday and then becomes absorbed within a larger trough on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A broad area of low pressure has formed several hundred miles south-southwest of southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this system is possible later this week while it moves slowly northward or northeastward. This system is likely to be absorbed over the weekend by a larger system that is expected to develop near the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An elongated surface trough is expected to form within a couple of hundred miles of the southern coast of Mexico during the next several days. An area of low pressure is likely to form along this trough, and it could become a tropical depression over the weekend while moving slowly west-northwestward near the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO. Products will continue to be available on the web at hurricanes.gov $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-24 19:49:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241749 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 24 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, which will move into the central Pacific basin this afternoon. A weak area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is not expected while it moves northward at 5 to 10 mph through Wednesday and then becomes absorbed within a larger trough on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An elongated surface trough is expected to form within a couple of hundred miles of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days. An area of low pressure is likely to form along this trough, and it could become a tropical depression over the weekend while moving slowly west-northwestward near the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another area of low pressure could form several hundred miles south-southwest of southern tip of the Baja California peninsula in a day or two. Some development is possible later this week while the system moves slowly northward or northeastward. This system is likely to be absorbed over the weekend by the larger system that is expected to develop near the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-24 13:41:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241141 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Sep 24 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located over the far southwestern part of the basin. A weak area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are forecast to be too strong for significant development while it moves little, and this system is expected to merge with a larger system to the east in a few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week where environmental conditions appear conducive for subsequent development. A tropical depression could form over the weekend while the system moves near the southern or the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another area of low pressure could form several hundred miles south-southwest of southern tip of the Baja California peninsula in a couple of days. Some development is possible later this week while the system moves erratically northward or northeastward, several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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