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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-12 07:52:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 120551 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the circulation associated with an area of low pressure located about 550 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains broad and somewhat elongated. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is gradually becoming better organized, and the system is expected to become a tropical depression on Thursday while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. For additional information on this system, please refer to High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while the system moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America over the weekend. Development of this system is possible early next week while it moves westward well south of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-12 01:33:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 112332 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Sep 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure is located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Recent visible imagery and satellite-derived wind data indicate that this system has a broad closed surface circulation, but the associated showers and thunderstorms are somewhat limited and disorganized. However, any increase in thunderstorm activity will result in the formation of a tropical depression, and this will likely happen tonight or early Thursday while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while the system moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America over the weekend. Some development is possible thereafter while the system moves westward through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-11 19:49:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111749 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 350 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to become better defined. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in the next 24 hours as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1400 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Some slow development is possible during the next few days while the system moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Cental America over the weekend. Thereafter, some development is possible into early next week while the system moves westward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Burke/Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-11 13:30:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111130 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Sep 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles west-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is gradually becoming better defined. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form more than 1000 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. Some additional development is possible while the system moves slowly westward through the weekend and early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-11 07:03:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 110503 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Sep 10 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is gradually becoming better defined. Associated thunderstorm activity has continued to increase, and environmental conditions are conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form more than 1000 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. Some additional development is possible while the system moves slowly westward through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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