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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-21 01:35:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 202334 CCA TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Aug 20 2019 Corrected to add High Seas Forecast information For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a large low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico are beginning to show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, parallel to and just offshore of the coast of Mexico. This system could produce locally heavy rainfall along portions of the coast of southern Mexico during the next day or two. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another low pressure system located more than 900 miles west- southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing limited shower and thunderstorms activity. Conditions have become less conducive for development and the chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone is decreasing. The system is forecast to move little during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Brown
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-20 19:37:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201737 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 20 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Although this system has not become better organized since yesterday, environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the low moves west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, parallel to and just offshore of the coast of Mexico. This system could produce heavy rainfall and flash flooding over portions of southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another low pressure system located more than 900 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Conditions have become less conducive for development, however a tropical depression could still form within the next couple of days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-20 13:42:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201142 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Aug 20 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the low moves west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, parallel to and just offshore of the coast of Mexico. This system could produce heavy rainfall and flash flooding over portions of southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another low pressure system located more than 900 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development by mid-week, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-20 07:47:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200547 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located about 200 miles south of the southern coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area of cloudiness of thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, parallel to and just offshore of the coast of Mexico. Moisture associated with this disturbance could produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another low pressure system located more than 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development by mid-week, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-20 01:28:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 192328 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Aug 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located less than 200 miles south of the southern coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area of cloudiness of thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, parallel to and just offshore of the coast of Mexico. Moisture associated with this disturbance could produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another low pressure system located more than 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development by mid-week, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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