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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-10 19:22:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101722 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 10 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A trough of low pressure located about 100 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development is possible during the next couple of days and a tropical depression could form while the system moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After that time, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely bring locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system during the next day or so should be slow to occur due to its close proximity to the disturbance near the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located a little less than 1000 miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation by the middle next week as this disturbance moves westward or west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Brown
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-10 13:43:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101143 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Aug 10 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A trough of low pressure located about 100 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could still favor some gradual development during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After that time, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely bring locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A broad area of low pressure has developed a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A tropical wave located a little less than 1000 miles south- southwest of the Baja California peninsula is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation early next week while the system moves westward or west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-10 07:00:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 100500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 9 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of disturbed weather associated with a small low pressure system is located about 100 miles southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. This disturbance remains disorganized and the thunderstorm activity is limited at this time. However, environmental conditions could still favor some gradual development during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After that time, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely bring locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave located a little less than 1000 miles south- southwest of the Baja California peninsula is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation early next week while the system moves westward or west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-10 01:21:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 092321 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Aug 9 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of disturbed weather associated with a broad area of low pressure is hugging the southern coast of Mexico, and some of the rainbands are already spreading inland over the state of Oaxaca. This system remains disorganized, but environmental conditions could favor some gradual development during the next 2 or 3 days while it moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After that time conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely bring locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southern and southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave located about 1000 miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development through the middle of next week while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-09 19:31:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 091731 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 9 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms near the southern coast of Mexico are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for some gradual development of this system through early next week while the system moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After that time, conditions are forecast to become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the disturbance could product locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southern and southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave located about 900 miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development through the middle of next week while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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