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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-13 07:00:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

916 ABPZ20 KNHC 130500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 12 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms association with a tropical wave located about 850 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized. Environmental conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for development by the middle part of the week, and a tropical depression could form later this week while the disturbance moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A westward moving trough of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next day or so before upper-level winds become less conducive. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-13 01:26:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

265 ABPZ20 KNHC 122326 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Aug 12 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are limited in association with a tropical wave located about 850 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development by the middle or latter part of the week, and a tropical depression could form around that time while the disturbance moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days before upper-level winds become unfavorable. This system is expected to move westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-12 19:30:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

706 ABPZ20 KNHC 121730 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 12 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located about 850 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development by the middle of the week, and a tropical depression could form around that time while the disturbance moves westward farther away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-12 13:44:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

516 ABPZ20 KNHC 121144 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 12 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located about 750 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower activity. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development by the middle of next week, and a tropical depression could form by that time while the disturbance moves westward farther away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Limited shower activity is occurring in association with Post-Tropical Cyclone Kristy, located about 1400 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The low is expected to move slowly westward over colder waters, and regeneration into a tropical cyclone is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-12 07:01:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

542 ABPZ20 KNHC 120501 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 11 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located about 700 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce a large area of cloudiness, showers, and a few thunderstorms. This system has shown some increase in organization since yesterday, and additional development is possible over the next couple of days. Upper-level winds appear to become more conducive for development by the middle of next week, and a tropical depression could form by that time while the wave moves westward farther away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A small area of showers continues in association with Post-Tropical Cyclone Kristy, located about 1400 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The low is expected to continue moving westward over cold waters, and regeneration into a tropical cyclone is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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