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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 17:52:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
414 ABPZ20 KNHC 041552 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 855 AM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to increase the development chances of the disturbance south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure centered about 825 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are likely to support additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week as the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, has become better organized overnight. Environmental conditions are conducive for signficant development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Updated: Satellite images indicate that a low pressure area has formed a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec, and the system is already showing signs of organization. A tropical depression could form over the next day or two while the system moves westward or west-northwestward nearly parallel to the coast of Mexico. Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 13:54:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
062 ABPZ20 KNHC 041154 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure centered about 825 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are likely to support additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week as the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, has become better organized overnight. Environmental conditions are conducive for signficant development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of Guatemala continues to produce disorganized shower activity. Although this system has the potential to become a tropical depression early next week, strong upper-level winds from another disturbance to the west could prevent tropical cyclone formation while the system moves westward or west-northwestward south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 07:17:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
844 ABPZ20 KNHC 040517 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 3 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure centered about 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have changed little in organization over the past several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to support additional development and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week as the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to show signs of becoming better organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected form within the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located south of the coast of Guatemala continues to produce disorganized shower activity. While development of this system is possible over the next several days, strong upper-level winds from another disturbance to the west could prevent significant organization. The wave is expected to move westward or west-northwestward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 01:31:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
928 ABPZ20 KNHC 032331 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Aug 3 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with a low pressure area centered about 750 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is becoming better organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week. The low is forecast to move slowly westward over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec has become a little better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development during the next several days, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form by early next week while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave to the south of the coasts of Guatemala and El Salvador is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. While development of this system is possible over the next several days, strong upper-level winds from another disturbance to the west and northwest could prevent significant organization. The wave is expected to move westward or west-northwestward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-03 19:46:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
567 ABPZ20 KNHC 031745 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 3 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Satellite images indicate that a low pressure area has formed about 700 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, and is already showing some signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week. The low is forecast to move slowly westward over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec remains poorly organized. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development during the next several days, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form by early next week while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave just west of Central America is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. While development of this system is possible over the next several days, strong upper-level winds from a system to the northwest could prevent significant organization. The wave is expected to move westward or west-northwestward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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