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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-05 19:27:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
646 ABPZ20 KNHC 051727 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 5 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located south of Puerto Escondido, Mexico. An elongated area of low pressure location about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or two while this system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite images indicate that the low pressure area located about 400 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, has become better defined, and a tropical depression appears to be forming. If the current development trend continues, advisories will likely be issued this afternoon or evening on this system. The low is forecast to move slowly northwestward off the southwest coast of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-05 13:36:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
658 ABPZ20 KNHC 051135 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 5 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located a couple of hundred miles south of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have changed little in organization overnight. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or two while this system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite imagery indicates that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 400 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, have become a little better organized overnight. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tonight while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-05 07:43:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
732 ABPZ20 KNHC 050543 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have not become any better organized over the past several hours. However, environmental conditions appear favorable for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week while this system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure is located about 400 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the low pressure system has become more concentrated during the past few hours, however recent satellite data indicate that the system does not yet have a well-defined surface circulation. Environmental conditions are conducive for development and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-05 01:37:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
476 ABPZ20 KNHC 042337 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure centered about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have changed little in organization during the past few hours. However, environmental conditions appear favorable for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week while this system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 350 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 19:47:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
203 ABPZ20 KNHC 041747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located over the far southwestern part of the basin. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure centered about 825 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are likely to support additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week as the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite data indicate that a broad low pressure area has formed several hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for significant development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form tonight or tomorrow while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. Satellite images indicate that a low pressure area located about 275 miles south-southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico, has become significantly better defined this morning, and a tropical depression could be forming. If current trends continue, advisories could be initiated this afternoon or evening on this system. The low is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, relatively close to Mexico, and interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Heavy rainfall and gusty winds could affect coastal regions of Guerrero northwestward to Jalisco over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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