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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-05-08 07:05:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 080505 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT FRI MAY 8 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Subtropical Storm Ana, located about 170 miles south-southeast of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. Unless conditions warrant, this will be the last Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued until June 1, 2015, which marks the first day of the Atlantic Hurricane Season. && Public Advisories on Ana are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Ana are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Stewart/Roberts

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-05-08 01:45:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 072345 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 745 PM EDT THU MAY 7 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Observations from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the area of low pressure located about 180 miles south-southeast of the South Carolina-North Carolina border continues to produce 40-45 mph winds mainly to the north and west of the center. Satellite images show some increase in the associated thunderstorm activity and if this trend continues, the system would become a subtropical cyclone later tonight. The low is expected to drift toward the north or north-northwest over the next couple of days, and interests along the southeastern coast of the United States should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain is expected over portions of the coastal southeastern United States for the next few days. For additional information, see products from your local National Weather Service forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system is scheduled for 2 AM EDT on Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-05-07 19:41:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 071741 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 145 PM EDT THU MAY 7 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the nearly stationary area of low pressure located about 210 miles south-southeast of the South Carolina-North Carolina border is now producing 40-45 mph winds mainly to the north and west of the center. Environmental conditions are favorable for some additional development, and any increase in the organization of the associated thunderstorm activity would result in the formation of a subtropical cyclone. The low is expected to drift to the north or north- northwest over the next couple of days, and interests along the southeastern coast of the United States should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain is expected over portions of the coastal southeastern United States for the next few days. For additional information, see products from your local National Weather Service forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system is scheduled for 8 PM EDT. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-05-07 13:44:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 071144 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 745 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system located about 230 miles south- southeast of the South Carolina-North Carolina border has moved little during the past several hours. Since yesterday, the low has become better defined with increasing organization of the associated thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are gradually becoming more conducive for development, and an increase in the organization of the thunderstorms could result in the formation of a subtropical cyclone later today or on Friday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this morning. The low is expected to drift generally northward over the next couple of days, and interests along the southeastern coast of the United States should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain is expected over portions of the coastal southeastern United States for the next several days. For additional information, see products from your local National Weather Service forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 2 PM EDT. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-05-07 07:49:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 070549 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 150 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system located about 220 miles south-southeast of the South Carolina-North Carolina border has been nearly stationary the past several hours. Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized and environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development over the next day or so while this system moves slowly northward and then northwestward. A subtropical or tropical cyclone could form later today or on Friday, and interests along the southeast coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low later this morning. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible over portions of the coastal southeastern United States beginning later today. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued on this system by 8 AM EDT this morning. For additional information, see products from your local National Weather Service forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml $$ Forecaster Stewart/Roberts

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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