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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-05-07 01:32:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 062332 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 735 PM EDT WED MAY 6 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending northward from the Bahamas to just offshore of the coast of the Carolinas are associated with an upper-level trough and a weak surface low located a couple of hundred miles east of the northeast Florida coast. Conditions are expected to become gradually more favorable for development over the next day or so while this system moves slowly northward and then northwestward. A subtropical or tropical cyclone could form by tomorrow or Friday, and interests along the southeast coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible over portions of the coastal southeastern United States beginning tomorrow. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued on this system by 2 AM EDT on Thursday. For additional information, see products from your local National Weather Service forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml $$ Forecaster Pasch/Kimberlain

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-05-06 19:57:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 061757 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED MAY 6 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from the east coast of Florida across the Bahamas and the adjacent Atlantic waters are associated with an upper-level trough and a weak surface low located north of the northwestern Bahamas. Conditions are expected to become gradually more favorable for development over the next day or so while this system moves slowly northward and then northwestward. A subtropical or tropical cyclone could form by tomorrow or Friday, and interests along the southeast coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system through the weekend. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible over portions of the coastal southeastern United States beginning tomorrow. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued on this system by 8 PM EDT today. For additional information, see products from your local National Weather Service forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml $$ Forecaster Brennan

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-05-06 14:01:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 061200 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending over portions of Florida, the Bahamas, and adjacent waters are associated with an upper-level trough and a weak surface low located over the northwestern Bahamas. The aircraft reconnaissance mission scheduled for this afternoon has been cancelled. However, conditions are expected to become gradually more favorable for development over the next day or so while the system moves slowly northward. A subtropical or tropical cyclone could form by Thursday or Friday, and interests along the southeast coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system through the weekend. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued on this system by 8 PM EDT today. For additional information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml $$ Forecaster Brennan

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-05-05 16:00:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 051359 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1000 AM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba, southern Florida, and the Bahamas is associated with an upper-level trough and a weak surface trough. An area of low pressure is expected to form in association with this disturbance during the next day or two. The low could gradually acquire subtropical characteristics over the next few days while it moves generally northward at a slow forward speed. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued on this system by 11 AM EDT Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-05-04 16:00:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 041400 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1000 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form near the northwestern Bahamas around midweek. This system could gradually acquire some subtropical characteristics by Thursday or Friday as it moves generally northward at a slow forward speed. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued on this system by 11 AM EDT Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Kimberlain

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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