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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-10-28 18:41:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 281740 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Since upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive, some gradual development of this disturbance is possible while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days. By the weekend, however, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A well-defined low pressure system, the remnants of former Tropical Storm Hanna, has emerged over the Gulf of Honduras near Roatan. This system is producing scattered showers across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and adjacant areas of northern Honduras, the Yucatan Peninsula, and Belize. Although upper-levels winds are somewhat favorable, proximity to land is expected to prevent any significant redevelopment of this disturbance while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. The system is forecast to move inland over Belize and northern Guatemala by Wednesday morning, ending any chance for redevelopment after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-10-28 12:32:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 281132 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms from the Lesser Antilles eastward over the Atlantic Ocean for several hundred miles. Since upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive, some gradual development of this disturbance is possible while it moves northwestward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days. By the weekend, however, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, this system will produce brief periods of gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall across portions of the Lesser Antilles through today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-10-28 06:39:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 280539 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Hanna, located inland over northern Nicaragua. A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms from the Lesser Antilles eastward over the Atlantic Ocean for several hundred miles. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur while it moves northwestward to west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days since upper- level winds are expected to be only marginally conducive. By the weekend, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for development. Regardless of development, this system will produce brief periods of gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall across portions of the Lesser Antilles through Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Hanna are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Hanna are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-10-28 00:37:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 272337 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Hanna, located inland over northeastern Nicaragua. A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms from the Lesser Antilles eastward over the Atlantic Ocean for several hundred miles. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur while it moves northwestward to west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days since upper- level winds are expected to be only marginally conducive. By the weekend, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for development. Regardless of development, this system will produce brief periods of gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall across portions of the Lesser Antilles through Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Hanna are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Hanna are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Brennan

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-10-27 19:08:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 271808 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014 Corrected probability categories For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Hanna, located near the Honduras-Nicaragua border. A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms from the Lesser Antilles eastward over the Atlantic Ocean for several hundred miles. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur during the next few days since upper-level winds are only marginally conducive. After that time, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for development while the system moves northwestward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Regardless of development, this system will produce brief periods of gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall across the Lesser Antilles through Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Hanna are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Hanna are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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