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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-13 13:50:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 131149 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Melissa, located about 400 miles south of Nova Scotia, Canada. A broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward toward Central America, and some development is possible if the low remains over water when it is near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize on Monday and Tuesday. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of western Africa. The wave is expected to move west-northwestward over the next day or so and emerge off the coast of Africa later this afternoon. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some additional development to occur during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands on Tuesday and Wednesday. Strong upper-level winds should prevent additional development by midweek. Interests in and around the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-13 07:08:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 130507 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Melissa, located several hundred miles south of Nova Scotia, Canada. A broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move west-northwestward toward Central America, and some development is possible if the low remains over water when it is near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize on Monday and Tuesday. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of western Africa. This wave is expected to move off the coast later today, and although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of the system is possible during the next few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands. Strong upper-level winds should prevent additional development by midweek. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-13 07:07:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

787 ABNT20 KNHC 130507 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Melissa, located several hundred miles south of Nova Scotia, Canada. A broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move west-northwestward toward Central America, and some development is possible if the low remains over water when it is near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize on Monday and Tuesday. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of western Africa. This wave is expected to move off the coast later today, and although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of the system is possible during the next few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands. Strong upper-level winds should prevent additional development by midweek. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-13 01:32:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 122331 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Melissa, located several hundred miles southeast of the New England coast. Surface observations indicate that a broad area of low pressure is forming over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. The system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low moves over the northwestern Caribbean Sea near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America late this weekend through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of the system is still possible before conditions become unfavorable by the middle of next week. The system is expected move westward to northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-12 20:53:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

244 ABNT20 KNHC 121744 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa, located a few hundred miles southeast of the New England coast. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low moves over the northwestern Caribbean Sea near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America late this weekend through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of the system is still possible before conditions become unfavorable by the middle of next week. The system is expected move westward to northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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