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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-06 07:19:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 060519 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean more than a thousand miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. A well-defined low pressure system located about midway between the southeastern United States and Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly northwestward then northward off the coast of North Carolina. Although the system is forecast to interact with a frontal zone early next week, it could linger off the southeast U.S. coast where some additional development is possible. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-06 01:25:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 052325 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean more than a thousand miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. A well-defined low pressure system located about midway between the southeastern United States and Bermuda continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. However, environmental conditions appear conducive for some development through the end of the week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward and then northward off the coast of North Carolina. The low could interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-05 19:42:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 051742 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Two, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean more than a thousand miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. A weak low pressure system located a few hundred miles west- southwest of Bermuda is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development through the end of the week while the system moves west-northwestward and then northward at about 10 mph off the coast of North Carolina. The low is forecast to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which should limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-05 13:47:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 051147 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a weak trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of Bermuda remain disorganized. Environmental conditions are still conducive for some development before the end of the week while the system moves west-northwestward and then northward between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States. The disturbance is then forecast to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which should limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Satellite images indicate that the shower activity associated with a small area of low pressure and a tropical wave located between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles remains well organized, and a tropical depression could form at any time. This disturbance is forecast to move westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. However, in a few days, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable, and the system is expected to degenerate into a trough of low pressure before it reaches the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-05 07:01:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 050501 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles to the southwest of Bermuda are associated with a weak trough of low pressure. This system appears to be less organized, and the potential for a tropical depression to form is diminishing. However, environmental conditions are still conducive for some development before the end of the week, while the system moves west- northwestward and then northward between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States. The disturbance is then forecast to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which should limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Satellite images indicate that the shower activity associated with a small area of low pressure and a tropical wave located between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles remains well organized, and a tropical depression could form at any time soon. This disturbance is forecast to move westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. However, in a few days, the upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable, and the system is expected to degenerate into a trough of low pressure before it approaches the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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