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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-08-07 13:42:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 071142 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Aug 7 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Franklin, located a couple of hundred miles east of Belize. An elongated area of low pressure located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Unfavorable environmental conditions should limit development of this system during the next few days, but conditions could become more conducive for some increase in organization of this disturbance by the end of the week. This system is expected to move generally west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic at about 15 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Franklin are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Franklin are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-08-07 07:40:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 070540 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Aug 7 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Franklin, located a few hundred miles east of Belize. An elongated area of low pressure located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be unfavorable for development during the next several days. Upper-level winds could become more conducive for some gradual increase in organization by late week while the system moves generally west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Franklin are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Franklin are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-08-07 01:39:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 062338 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Aug 6 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles is producing only limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, is expected to be slow to occur while the system moves generally west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky/Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-08-06 19:32:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 061732 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Aug 6 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite data indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed over the western Caribbean Sea about 150 miles east of the eastern coast of Honduras. In addition, winds just below tropical-storm-force are occurring to the northeast of the center. The associated showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized, and a tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form before the low reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late Monday or early Tuesday. After the system crosses the Yucatan Peninsula, it is expected to move across the Bay of Campeche by midweek where additional development is expected. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this low on Monday, if necessary. Interests along the coasts of Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system as heavy rains and strong winds are possible at those locations. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles remains elongated, and the associated showers and thunderstorms are not well organized. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves generally west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-08-06 13:31:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 061131 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Aug 6 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in association with a strong tropical wave located over the west-central Caribbean Sea. This system is moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea before it reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late Monday or early Tuesday. Even if formation does not occur before the system reaches the Yucatan peninsula, a tropical depression or tropical storm could form over the Bay of Campeche by midweek. The Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft scheduled for today has been canceled, but a new mission has been scheduled for Monday, if necessary. Interests along the coasts of Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles remains elongated, and the associated showers and thunderstorms are not well organized. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves generally west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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