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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-09-14 07:00:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 140500 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad low pressure system located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves generally northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent Shower activity is minimal in association with an area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves little. After a couple of days, a slow west-northwestward motion toward Mexico is expected and land interaction should limit development. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Monday afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent A tropical wave located just off the west coast of Africa is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this wave during the next several days while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-09-14 01:40:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 132340 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN SEP 13 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad low pressure system located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves generally northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent Shower activity remains disorganized in association with an area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally conducive for development of this low during the next couple of days while it moves little. After a couple of days, a slow west-northwestward motion toward Mexico is expected and land interaction should limit development. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Monday afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent A tropical wave located just off the west coast of Africa is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this wave over the next several days while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-09-13 19:38:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131738 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN SEP 13 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of disturbed weather associated with a broad low pressure system located several hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands is showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent An area of disturbed weather has developed in association with a weak low pressure system located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally conducive for development over the next few days before becoming unfavorable by late Wednesday. Little movement is expected during the next couple of days, followed by a slow motion toward the west or west-northwest on Wednesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Monday afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent A tropical wave has emerged off the west coast of Africa several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this disturbance over the next several days while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent A small low pressure system located about 975 miles southwest of the Azores is producing minimal shower activity. Environmental conditions are becoming unfavorable for development, and tropical cyclone formation is not expected while the system moves northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-09-13 13:46:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131146 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN SEP 13 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system is producing a large area of disturbed weather several hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next few days days while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent A small low pressure system located about 975 miles southwest of the Azores is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, of this low is expected to be slow to occur while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at about 10 mph over the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent Minimal shower and thunderstorm activity is continuing in association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Grace over the northeastern Caribbean Sea and the Greater Antilles. Upper-level winds are not expected to be favorable for redevelopment of this system during the next several days. However, brief periods of locally heavy rains and gusty winds are still possible across portions of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Cuba, and the Bahamas during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-09-13 07:08:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 130508 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SUN SEP 13 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Minimal shower and thunderstorm activity is continuing in association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Grace over the northeastern Caribbean Sea. Upper-level winds are not expected to be favorable for redevelopment of this system during the next several days. However, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are still possible across portions of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Cuba, and the Bahamas during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent Shower activity has increased over the past 24 hours in association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next several days while the system moves west- northwestward to northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent A small low pressure system located about 950 miles southwest of the Azores is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, of this low is expected to be slow to occur while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph over the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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