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Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 42
2016-10-08 16:56:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 081456 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO SURF CITY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 79.4W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......160NE 140SE 80SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 60SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 79.4W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 79.9W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 33.6N 78.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...170NE 140SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 34.0N 75.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 75SE 75SW 40NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 200SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 34.0N 73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 200SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.0N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...300NE 0SE 0SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N 79.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)
2016-10-08 15:56:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...MATTHEW MAKES LANDFALL SOUTHEAST OF MCCLELLANVILLE SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SERIOUS INLAND FLOODING EVENT UNFOLDING... As of 11:00 AM EDT Sat Oct 8 the center of MATTHEW was located near 33.0, -79.4 with movement NE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 967 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)
2016-10-08 14:59:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...9 AM EDT POSITION UPDATE... ......STRONG WINDS AND FLOODING RAINS SPREADING INLAND OVER SOUTH CAROLINA... As of 9:00 AM EDT Sat Oct 8 the center of MATTHEW was located near 32.6, -79.7 with movement NE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 963 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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Hurricane MATTHEW Update Statement
2016-10-08 14:59:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 900 AM EDT SAT OCT 08 2016 000 WTNT64 KNHC 081258 TCUAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 900 AM EDT SAT OCT 08 2016 ...9 AM EDT POSITION UPDATE... ......STRONG WINDS AND FLOODING RAINS SPREADING INLAND OVER SOUTH CAROLINA... A wind gust to 71 mph (115 km/h) has been observed at Beaufort Marine Corps Air Station. A private weather station on the Isle of Palms Pier has reported sustained winds of 61 mph (98 km/h). Strong wind gusts are also occuring well inland. A wind gust to 61 mph (98 km/h) was recently reported at Shaw Air Force Base in Sumter, South Carolina. SUMMARY OF 900 AM EDT...1300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.6N 79.7W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SSW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES $$ Forecaster Brown
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Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 41A
2016-10-08 13:57:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM EDT SAT OCT 08 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 081157 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 41A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 800 AM EDT SAT OCT 08 2016 ...STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AFFECTING THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS SPREADING INLAND... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.5N 79.8W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * North of Altamaha Sound to Surf City A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * North of Surf City to Cape Lookout A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North of Surf City to Duck * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Matthew was located by NOAA Doppler weather radars, and an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft, near latitude 32.5 North, longitude 79.8 West. Matthew is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will continue to move near or over the coast of South Carolina today, and be near the coast of southern North Carolina by tonight. Reports from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Although weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, Matthew is expected to remain a hurricane while the center is near the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). A private weather station at Folly Beach reported a wind gust of 76 mph (122 km/h). Strong wind gusts are also occurring well inland in South Carolina. Orangeburg recently reported a wind gust of 55 mph (89 km/h). The minimum central pressure recently reported by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft was 962 mb (28.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over the warning area in Georgia and South Carolina this morning, and spread northward elsewhere within the warning area through today. Residents in high-rise buildings should be aware that the winds at the top of a 30-story building will be, on average, about one Saffir-Simpson category higher than the winds near the surface. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Warning area in North Carolina by tonight or Sunday morning, with tropical storm conditions expected later this morning. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge, the tide, and large and destructive waves will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Altamaha Sound, GA, to Edisto Beach, SC...6 to 9 ft Edisto Beach, SC to Cape Fear, NC...5 to 7 ft Cape Fear to Duck, NC, including portions of the Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds...2 to 4 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur well in advance of and well away from the track of the center. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. There is a danger of life-threatening inundation during the next 36 hours along the coast from Altamaha Sound, Georgia, to Cape Fear, North Carolina. There is the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48 hours from north of Cape Fear to Duck, North Carolina, including portions of Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is available at hurricanes.gov. RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches near and east of Interstate 95 in South Carolina and North Carolina, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches. Matthew is expected to produce 2 to 6 inches of rain over central South Carolina, western North Carolina, and southeastern Virginia. Additional rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches are expected over eastern Georgia. In all of these areas rainfall may result in life-threatening flooding and flash flooding. TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two will be possible today along the coast of North Carolina and northern South Carolina. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions of the east coast of Florida during the next few days, and will spread northward along the southeast U.S. coast through the weekend. These swells will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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