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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-13 07:27:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 130527 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Oct 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure, associated in part with the remnants of Norbert, is located less than 100 miles east-southeast of Socorro Island, Mexico. Satellite imagery and recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that the low has continued to become better defined, while associated showers and thunderstorms have increased and become better organized. If this recent development trend continues, then a short-lived tropical depression could form on Tuesday while the low moves slowly west-northwestward. By Wednesday, however, environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-13 01:18:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 122318 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Oct 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure, associated in part with the remnants of Norbert, is located a few hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Satellite imagery and satellite-derived surface winds suggest that the low is a little better defined than it was yesterday, but the associated showers and thunderstorms remain somewhat disorganized. However, this system could still become a short-lived tropical depression while it moves west-northwestward during the next day or so before environmental conditions become less favorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-12 19:51:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

990 ABPZ20 KNHC 121751 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure associated in part with the remnants of Norbert is located a few hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Satellite images suggest that the low is a little better defined than it was yesterday, but the associated showers and thunderstorms have become less organized during the past several hours. This system could still become a short-lived tropical depression while it moves west-northwestward during the next day or so before environmental conditions become less favorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-12 13:39:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121139 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Oct 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure associated in part with the remnants of Norbert is located a few hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Although showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization, the surface circulation remains poorly defined. However, environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development during the next day or so, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a few days while the system moves slowly toward the west-northwest or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-12 07:38:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 120537 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Oct 11 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure associated in part with the remnants of Norbert is located a few hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that this system is currently poorly organized at the surface. On the other hand, showers and thunderstorms in the area continue to show signs of organization and environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development during the next day or so. A tropical depression is likely to form within a few days while the system moves slowly toward the west-northwest or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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