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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-10 19:45:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101744 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 10 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have changed little since early this morning in association with a small low pressure system located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. In addition, satellite data suggests that the low is not as well-defined as it was yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development as the low is expected to encounter dry air while moving toward the west or west-southwest at 10 to 15 mph over the next day or so. Thereafter, strong upper-level winds will likely inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico are associated with the remnants of Norbert. Little to no development of this disturbance is expected over the next couple of days due to unfavorable environmental conditions. However, by the middle of next week the disturbance is expected to begin moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph into an area where conditions are expected to become more favorable for some development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-10 13:47:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101147 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Oct 10 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Tropical Depression Norbert, which has dissipated several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association with a small low pressure system located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. However, environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development as the low is expected to encounter dry air while moving toward the west or west-southwest at 10 to 15 mph over the next day or so. Thereafter, strong upper-level winds will likely inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-10 07:15:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 100515 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Oct 9 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Norbert, located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Dry air continues to limit shower and thunderstorm activity in association with a small low pressure system located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development during the next day or so as the low moves toward the west or west-southwest at 10 to 15 mph. Thereafter, strong upper-level winds will likely inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-10 01:14:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 092314 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Oct 9 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Norbert, located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. A small, well-defined low pressure system located more than 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity due to nearby dry air. Because of this dry air, environmental conditions are expected to only be somewhat conducive for development while the low moves toward the west or west-southwest at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-09 20:42:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

693 ABPZ20 KNHC 091735 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 9 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Norbert, located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. A small, well-defined low pressure system is located about 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Dry mid-level air is currently inhibiting shower and thunderstorm activity. However, environmental conditions are somewhat conducive for development, and if there is an increase in shower and thunderstorm activity a tropical depression could still form while the low moves toward the west or west-southwest at about 10 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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