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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 19:24:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171723 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 17 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located over the southwestern part of the basin, on newly formed Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on newly formed Tropical Storm Lorena, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Zihuatanejo, Mexico. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located just west of Central America are associated with a trough of low pressure. Gradual development of this system is anticipated during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Fourteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Fourteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. Public Advisories on Lorena are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Lorena are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 13:44:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171144 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Sep 17 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located over the southwestern part of the basin. Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with a well-defined area of low pressure located about 600 miles south- southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, and is close to becoming a tropical depression. Advisories on this system could be initiated later this morning or this afternoon while the low moves west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. Satellite images indicate that the low pressure area located about 250 miles south of Acapulco is becoming better defined and is close to becoming a tropical storm. Advisories will likely be initiated later this morning, and this system will continue to move west- northwestward near or just offshore of the coast of Mexico during the next few days. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system, and watches or warnings could be required later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central America are associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 07:07:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 170506 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located over the southwestern part of the basin. Showers and thunderstorms remain limited in association with a well-defined area of low pressure located about 650 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Any significant increase in the thunderstorm activity would lead to the formation of a tropical depression later today or tonight, while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the large area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, is becoming better organized. If this development trend continues, then a tropical depression or tropical storm could form later today or tonight. This system will continue to move west-northwest near or just offshore of the coast of Mexico for the next few days. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central America are associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 01:10:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 162310 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located over the southwestern part of the basin. Satellite data indicate that a small low pressure area located about 650 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to become better defined, however, the associated showers and thunderstorms still lack organization. Any significant increase in the organization of the thunderstorm activity would lead to the formation of a tropical depression later tonight or on Tuesday while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A larger area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing widespread showers and thunderstorms. Although the circulation of this system is not yet well defined, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for the development of a tropical depression within the next day or so. This disturbance is expected to move to the west-northwest near or just offshore of the coast of Mexico. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central America are associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-16 19:47:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located in the southwestern part of the basin. A small area of low pressure centered several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to become better organized. Any significant increase in organized thunderstorm activity will likely result in the formation of a tropical depression tonight or tomorrow. Beyond mid week, strong upper-level winds from the system to the east could inhibit further development while the low moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Thunderstorm activity associated with a larger low pressure area located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is also becoming better organized, with satellite-derived winds indicating that the circulation is also better defined. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in a day or two as the system moves west- northwestward near or a short distance offshore of the coast of Mexico. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central America is associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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