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Tropical Storm Grace Public Advisory Number 33
2021-08-21 16:54:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sat Aug 21 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 211454 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Grace Advisory Number 33 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072021 1000 AM CDT Sat Aug 21 2021 ...GRACE WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVER LAND BUT STILL CAUSING VERY HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.7N 98.9W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNE of CIUDAD DE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Warning for the coast of mainland Mexico from Puerto Veracruz to Cabo Rojo is replaced by a Tropical Storm Warning. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of mainland Mexico from Puerto Veracruz to Barra del Tordo A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere withing the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Grace was located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 98.9 West. Grace is moving toward the west-southwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and a generally westward motion is expected into early Sunday. On the forecast track, the center will move over central and west-central Mexico through tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued rapid weakening is expected while the system moves over the mountains of central and west-central Mexico today and tonight, and Grace is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression tonight and dissipate by early Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Grace can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?key_messages. STORM SURGE: Storm surge flooding should continue to subside along the coast of Mexico. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue within the tropical storm warning area along the coast of Mexico for the next few hours. RAINFALL: Grace is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts: Over Veracruz, Puebla, Tlaxcala, Hidalgo, Queretaro, and eastern San Luis Potosi, 6 to 12 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 18 inches are expected through Sunday. Over Ciudad de Mexico, 1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches. Heavy rainfall from Grace will result in significant flash and urban flooding as well as mudslides. SURF: High surf generated by Grace will affect the southern Gulf of Mexico coastline through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Grace Forecast Advisory Number 33
2021-08-21 16:53:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 21 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 211453 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021 1500 UTC SAT AUG 21 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM PUERTO VERACRUZ TO CABO ROJO IS REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM PUERTO VERACRUZ TO BARRA DEL TORDO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHING THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 98.9W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT.......130NE 90SE 20SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 98.9W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 98.3W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.4N 100.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.0N 102.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 98.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane Grace Graphics
2021-08-21 13:51:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 21 Aug 2021 11:51:35 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 21 Aug 2021 09:22:35 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Grace (AT2/AL072021)
2021-08-21 13:49:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...GRACE MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR MEXICO... As of 7:00 AM CDT Sat Aug 21 the center of Grace was located near 19.9, -98.3 with movement WSW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 980 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
Hurricane Grace Public Advisory Number 32A
2021-08-21 13:49:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 AM CDT Sat Aug 21 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 211149 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Grace Intermediate Advisory Number 32A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072021 700 AM CDT Sat Aug 21 2021 ...GRACE MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.9N 98.3W ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM ENE OF MEXICO CITY MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.93 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The coast of mainland Mexico from Puerto Veracruz to Cabo Rojo A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of mainland Mexico from north of Cabo Rojo to Barra del Tordo A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere withing the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Grace was located inland near latitude 19.9 North, longitude 98.3 West. Grace is moving toward the west-southwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. On the forecast track, Grace will continue to move farther inland and reach central Mexico later today. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued rapid weakening is expected as Grace moves inland over the mountains of central Mexico today, and the hurricane is forecast to weaken to a tropical storm by this afternoon, and then dissipate tonight or Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.93 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Grace can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?key_messages. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 ft above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds during the next few hours near where Grace made landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to continue within portions of the hurricane warning area in mainland Mexico over the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue within the tropical storm warning area in mainland Mexico for the next several hours. RAINFALL: Grace is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts: Over Veracruz, Puebla, Tlaxcala, Hidalgo, Queretaro, and eastern San Luis Potosi...6 to 12 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 18 inches are expected through Sunday. Heavy rainfall from Grace will result in significant flash and urban flooding as well as mudslides. SURF: High surf generated by Grace will affect the southern Gulf of Mexico coastline through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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