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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2014-08-26 04:42:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014 000 FONT14 KNHC 260242 PWSAT4 HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 0300 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 2(17) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 12(36) X(36) X(36) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Public Advisory Number 10
2014-08-26 04:42:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014 000 WTNT34 KNHC 260242 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 1100 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014 ...CRISTOBAL EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE WEST OF BERMUDA ON WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.1N 71.9W ABOUT 655 MI...1055 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TUESDAY...AND PASS TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF BERMUDA ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO ONGOING RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER BERMUDA. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Graphics
2014-08-26 03:21:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 26 Aug 2014 01:21:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 25 Aug 2014 21:05:47 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane CRISTOBAL (AT4/AL042014)
2014-08-26 03:06:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CRISTOBAL BECOMES A HURRICANE... As of 8:20 PM EDT Mon Aug 25 the center of CRISTOBAL was located near 25.0, -71.9 with movement E at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Update Statement
2014-08-26 03:06:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 820 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014 ZCZC MIATCUAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE CRISTOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 820 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014 ...CRISTOBAL BECOMES A HURRICANE... REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT CRISTOBAL HAS STRENGTHENED INTO A HURRICANE. THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SUMMARY OF 820 PM EDT...0020 UTC...INFORMATION -------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.0N 71.9W ABOUT 660 MI...1065 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 100 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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