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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-11 13:35:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111135 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible over the next day or so as it moves west-northwestward, away from the coast of Mexico. Thereafter, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula are associated with a trough of low pressure. Development of this system is no longer expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...0 percent. A disturbance located little a less than 1000 miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation by the middle of the week as the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Pasch
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-11 07:00:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 110500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 10 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms near the southwestern coast of Mexico is associated with a trough of low pressure. This system has not become any better organized since yesterday, and the chances of tropical cyclone formation are diminishing. The disturbance is expected to move west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico bringing locally heavy rainfall along portions of that area during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south- southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is already merging with the disturbance to its north. Development of this system is becoming less likely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A disorganized area of disturbed weather continues to be located a little less than 1000 miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation by the middle next week as the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
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weather
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eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-11 01:16:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 102316 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Aug 10 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms near the southwestern coast of Mexico is associated with a trough of low pressure. This system has about a day or two to become a tropical depression as it moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After that time, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely bring locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south- southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is beginning to merge with the larger disturbance to its north. Development of this system is becoming less likely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of disturbed weather located a little less than 1000 miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula is currently disorganized. However, environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation by the middle next week as this disturbance moves westward or west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-10 19:22:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101722 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 10 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A trough of low pressure located about 100 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development is possible during the next couple of days and a tropical depression could form while the system moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After that time, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely bring locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system during the next day or so should be slow to occur due to its close proximity to the disturbance near the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located a little less than 1000 miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation by the middle next week as this disturbance moves westward or west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-10 13:43:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101143 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Aug 10 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A trough of low pressure located about 100 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could still favor some gradual development during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After that time, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely bring locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A broad area of low pressure has developed a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A tropical wave located a little less than 1000 miles south- southwest of the Baja California peninsula is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation early next week while the system moves westward or west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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