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Hurricane Jerry Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

2019-09-19 16:54:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 191454 PWSAT5 HURRICANE JERRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019 1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 1(13) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABA 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BARBUDA 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ANTIGUA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GUADELOUPE 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AVES 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOMINICA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Tropical Storm Mario Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

2019-09-19 16:51:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 191450 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM MARIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142019 1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 15N 110W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 X 3( 3) 30(33) 19(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 39(40) 28(68) 8(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 8( 8) 19(27) 7(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) 20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 15(20) 2(22) X(22) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Storm Lorena Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

2019-09-19 16:50:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 191449 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152019 1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT IS GUADALUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 8(21) 2(23) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 5( 5) 58(63) 19(82) 4(86) X(86) X(86) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 24(24) 20(44) 4(48) 1(49) X(49) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 15(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 36(37) 19(56) 4(60) X(60) X(60) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 13(13) 13(26) 3(29) X(29) X(29) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 17(22) 19(41) X(41) X(41) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 13(15) 2(17) X(17) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CULIACAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 34 66 7(73) 2(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) ISLAS MARIAS 50 31 7(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) ISLAS MARIAS 64 10 6(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN BLAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) 7(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 9(23) 1(24) 25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Hurricane Humberto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 28

2019-09-19 16:49:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 000 FONT14 KNHC 191449 PWSAT4 HURRICANE HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 18(18) 10(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SABLE ISLAND 34 2 56(58) 4(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Storm Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities Number 29

2019-09-19 16:47:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 191447 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 2 4( 6) 5(11) 3(14) 5(19) 3(22) 1(23) 20N 130W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 6(22) 1(23) X(23) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 15(19) 35(54) 7(61) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 5(23) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 10(15) 6(21) 6(27) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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