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Tropical Storm Mario Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

2019-09-18 04:46:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 18 2019 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 180246 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM MARIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142019 0300 UTC WED SEP 18 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 4 8(12) 1(13) 2(15) 5(20) 2(22) X(22) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 9(15) 6(21) 3(24) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 21(38) 15(53) 11(64) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 8(18) 8(26) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 15N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 14(29) 9(38) 2(40) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 14(26) 16(42) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Hurricane Humberto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21

2019-09-17 22:42:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 000 FONT14 KNHC 172042 PWSAT4 HURRICANE HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) X(17) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 5(23) X(23) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BERMUDA 34 1 50(51) 41(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) BERMUDA 50 X 4( 4) 40(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm Lorena Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

2019-09-17 22:40:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 172040 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152019 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 10(15) 4(19) X(19) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14) 15N 105W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 16(17) 15(32) 3(35) X(35) X(35) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MANZANILLO 34 X 8( 8) 39(47) 9(56) 2(58) X(58) X(58) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) 10(10) 7(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) L CARDENAS 34 1 29(30) 4(34) 1(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) L CARDENAS 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 13(14) 2(16) X(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) 15N 100W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Storm Mario Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

2019-09-17 22:38:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 172038 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM MARIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142019 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 3 36(39) 4(43) 2(45) 3(48) 2(50) X(50) 15N 110W 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 8(18) 4(22) 1(23) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 27(46) 12(58) 5(63) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 8(19) 4(23) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 15N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 14(24) 17(41) 10(51) 4(55) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 8(15) 3(18) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16) 10(26) 7(33) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Tropical Storm Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22

2019-09-17 22:37:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 172037 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 4 4( 8) 4(12) 2(14) 2(16) 1(17) 1(18) 20N 125W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 15N 130W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 19(28) 14(42) 6(48) 3(51) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 20N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 12(17) 10(27) 3(30) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 18(23) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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