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Tropical Storm Sergio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 51

2018-10-12 04:50:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 120250 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 51 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0300 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) P ABREOJOS 34 79 X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) P ABREOJOS 50 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) P ABREOJOS 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LORETO 34 11 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) HERMOSILLO 34 X 19(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) HERMOSILLO 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 5 16(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) BAHIA KINO 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUAYMAS 34 5 35(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) GUAYMAS 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HUATABAMPO 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 115W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 25N 115W 50 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Hurricane Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 63

2018-10-12 04:42:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 000 FONT13 KNHC 120242 PWSAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 63 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 0300 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PONTA DELGADA 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Tropical Storm Michael Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21

2018-10-11 22:51:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 000 FONT14 KNHC 112051 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 2100 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 44(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 12(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 1( 1) 64(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) 27(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HALIFAX NS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) HYANNIS MA 34 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 25(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) MONTAUK POINT 34 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 6 7(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) OCEAN CITY MD 34 17 5(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) PAX RIVER NAS 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) RICHMOND VA 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 60 X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) NORFOLK NAS 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 74 X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) NORFOLK VA 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) OCEANA NAS VA 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ELIZABETH CTY 34 86 X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) RALEIGH NC 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) ROCKY MT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ROCKY MT NC 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 43 X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) FAYETTEVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHERRY PT NC 34 68 X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) NEW RIVER NC 34 47 X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) MOREHEAD CITY 34 58 X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FLORENCE SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LITTLE RIVER 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm Nadine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

2018-10-11 22:38:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 000 FONT15 KNHC 112038 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM NADINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152018 2100 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NADINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Storm Sergio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 50

2018-10-11 22:36:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 112036 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 50 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 2100 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) P ABREOJOS 34 26 35(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) P ABREOJOS 50 2 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) P ABREOJOS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LORETO 34 X 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) HERMOSILLO 34 X 13(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) HERMOSILLO 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BAHIA KINO 34 X 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) BAHIA KINO 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUAYMAS 34 X 36(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) GUAYMAS 50 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GUAYMAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HUATABAMPO 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 25N 115W 34 94 X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 25N 115W 50 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 25N 115W 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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