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Tropical Storm Kirk Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2018-09-27 16:52:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 424 FONT12 KNHC 271452 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122018 1500 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAINT CROIX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BARBUDA 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANTIGUA 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUADELOUPE 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) AVES 34 X 13(13) 12(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) DOMINICA 34 15 20(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) MARTINIQUE 34 38 23(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) MARTINIQUE 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT LUCIA 34 24 18(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) SAINT VINCENT 34 4 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BARBADOS 34 33 X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tropical Storm Kirk Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2018-09-27 10:39:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 590 FONT12 KNHC 270839 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122018 0900 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VIEQUES PR 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BARBUDA 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ANTIGUA 34 1 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GUADELOUPE 34 3 15(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) AVES 34 X 13(13) 26(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) AVES 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOMINICA 34 9 44(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) DOMINICA 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MARTINIQUE 34 23 49(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) MARTINIQUE 50 1 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT LUCIA 34 11 33(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) SAINT VINCENT 34 1 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BARBADOS 34 32 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Hurricane Rosa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2018-09-27 10:39:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 591 FOPZ15 KNHC 270839 PWSEP5 HURRICANE ROSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018 0900 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ROSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) IS GUADALUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) IS GUADALUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ISLA CLARION 34 65 1(66) 1(67) 1(68) 2(70) X(70) X(70) ISLA CLARION 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 115W 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 115W 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 4(12) 8(20) 2(22) X(22) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 4(23) 25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 15N 120W 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 20N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 38(46) 34(80) 2(82) X(82) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 35(45) 1(46) X(46) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) X(25) X(25) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 30(42) 3(45) 25N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 2(15) 25N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) 30N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tropical Storm Kirk Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2018-09-27 04:51:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 203 FONT12 KNHC 270251 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122018 0300 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BARBUDA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ANTIGUA 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GUADELOUPE 34 1 6( 7) 8(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) AVES 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 8(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) AVES 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOMINICA 34 1 20(21) 19(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) DOMINICA 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 1 38(39) 14(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) MARTINIQUE 50 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT LUCIA 34 1 25(26) 10(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) SAINT VINCENT 34 X 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BARBADOS 34 5 29(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Hurricane Rosa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2018-09-27 04:35:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 845 FOPZ15 KNHC 270235 PWSEP5 HURRICANE ROSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018 0300 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ROSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) IS GUADALUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) IS GUADALUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PUNTA EUGENIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ISLA CLARION 34 48 17(65) 2(67) 1(68) 2(70) X(70) X(70) ISLA CLARION 50 2 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 115W 34 3 8(11) 3(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 20N 115W 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 5(14) 7(21) 3(24) X(24) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 8(22) 25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 15N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 17(22) 51(73) 4(77) X(77) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 34(38) 3(41) X(41) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 3(22) X(22) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 35(42) 7(49) 25N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) 25N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 30N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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