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Tropical Storm Sergio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2018-09-29 17:28:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1530 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 302 FOPZ11 KNHC 291528 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 1530 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 AT 1530Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 105W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 9(20) X(20) X(20) CLIPPERTON IS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CLIPPERTON IS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 10N 110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 10(18) 1(19) X(19) 10N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 13(27) 1(28) X(28) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 10N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 8(20) 1(21) 10N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 10N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 33(57) 4(61) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 22(28) 3(31) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 2(16) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 19(41) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Hurricane Rosa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18

2018-09-29 16:48:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 195 FOPZ15 KNHC 291448 PWSEP5 HURRICANE ROSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018 1500 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ROSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) TIJUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) IS GUADALUPE 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 17(25) 9(34) X(34) X(34) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P ABREOJOS 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 115W 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 25N 115W 34 2 6( 8) 10(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 20N 120W 34 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 25N 120W 34 4 29(33) 9(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 25N 120W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 30N 120W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Subtropical Storm Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

2018-09-29 16:45:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 128 FONT13 KNHC 291445 PWSAT3 SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 1500 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Hurricane Rosa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17

2018-09-29 10:40:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 649 FOPZ15 KNHC 290840 PWSEP5 HURRICANE ROSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018 0900 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ROSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT S CATALINA IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) TIJUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13) IS GUADALUPE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 28(34) X(34) X(34) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) X(18) P PENASCO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA CLARION 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 34 5 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 25N 115W 34 X 6( 6) 4(10) 4(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) 20N 120W 34 38 3(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 20N 120W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 120W 34 3 7(10) 14(24) 1(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) 30N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Subtropical Storm Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

2018-09-29 10:32:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 751 FONT13 KNHC 290832 PWSAT3 SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 0900 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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