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Tropical Storm Ernesto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2018-08-17 10:32:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 906 FONT15 KNHC 170832 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018 0900 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Hurricane Lane Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2018-08-17 04:42:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 234 FOPZ14 KNHC 170242 PWSEP4 HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142018 0300 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 135W 34 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 15N 135W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 35(38) 9(47) 1(48) X(48) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 69(70) 11(81) X(81) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) 14(52) X(52) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 11(34) X(34) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 49(50) 19(69) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 16(38) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 10(21) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 32(41) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tropical Storm Ernesto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2018-08-17 04:37:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 505 FONT15 KNHC 170237 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018 0300 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tropical Storm Lane Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2018-08-16 22:35:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 16 2018 763 FOPZ14 KNHC 162035 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142018 2100 UTC THU AUG 16 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 130W 34 22 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 10N 135W 34 X 2( 2) 20(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 10N 135W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 8(18) X(18) X(18) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 25(38) 1(39) X(39) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) 27(69) 2(71) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 24(40) 1(41) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) X(24) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 32(33) 25(58) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 18(31) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tropical Storm Ernesto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2018-08-16 22:32:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 16 2018 721 FONT15 KNHC 162032 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018 2100 UTC THU AUG 16 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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