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Tropical Depression Sixteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2017-10-04 16:39:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 04 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 041439 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162017 1500 UTC WED OCT 04 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 8(19) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 3(19) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 8(25) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 14(32) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 14(33) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 12(38) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 10(41) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 13(39) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 14(21) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 12(21) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 10(31) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 9(31) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 7(41) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 7(24) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 3(16) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 3(21) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 25(30) 3(33) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 27(29) 1(30) X(30) COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUANAJA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 11(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 1 35(36) 7(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BLUEFIELDS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN ANDRES 34 10 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 2(36) X(36) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 2(13) X(13) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Storm Ramon Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2017-10-04 16:34:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 04 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 041434 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM RAMON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192017 1500 UTC WED OCT 04 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAMON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 105W 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 29(35) 3(38) 1(39) X(39) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 100W 34 X 40(40) 4(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) 15N 100W 50 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 15N 100W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ACAPULCO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P MALDONADO 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 8(20) 2(22) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 2(20) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tropical Storm Ramon Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2017-10-04 10:58:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 04 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 040858 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM RAMON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192017 0900 UTC WED OCT 04 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAMON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 15N 105W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 13(34) 2(36) X(36) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 15N 100W 34 X 16(16) 12(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 15N 100W 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 2(20) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 59
2017-09-30 22:34:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 30 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 302034 PWSAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 59 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 2100 UTC SAT SEP 30 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Tropical Storm Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 58
2017-09-30 16:31:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 30 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 301431 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 58 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 1500 UTC SAT SEP 30 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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