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Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

2017-08-29 22:31:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 292031 PWSAT5 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017 2100 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) X(21) X(21) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 23(23) 5(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BOSTON MA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Storm Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities Number 37

2017-08-29 16:58:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 291458 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017 1500 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOBILE AL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GULFPORT MS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) STENNIS MS 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) BURAS LA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 280N 890W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JACKSON MS 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 7(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 3 7(10) 2(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) GFMX 280N 910W 34 8 5(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BATON ROUGE LA 34 6 17(23) 4(27) 2(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) MORGAN CITY LA 34 9 18(27) 2(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 4 21(25) 10(35) 5(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LAFAYETTE LA 34 16 31(47) 5(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW IBERIA LA 34 18 28(46) 4(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SHREVEPORT LA 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13) FORT POLK LA 34 7 28(35) 7(42) 2(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) FORT POLK LA 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LAKE CHARLES 34 35 31(66) 3(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) LAKE CHARLES 50 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) LAKE CHARLES 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CAMERON LA 34 62 18(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) CAMERON LA 50 2 7( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CAMERON LA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) JASPER TX 34 8 20(28) 5(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) JASPER TX 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KOUNTZE TX 34 16 19(35) 2(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) KOUNTZE TX 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 40 17(57) 1(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GALVESTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GALVESTON TX 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HOUSTON TX 34 8 6(14) 1(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) FREEPORT TX 34 18 3(21) X(21) X(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) GFMX 280N 950W 34 93 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MATAGORDA TX 34 6 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORT O CONNOR 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ROCKPORT TX 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

2017-08-29 16:36:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 291436 PWSAT5 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017 1500 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 24(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WORCESTER MA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HYANNIS MA 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HARTFORD CT 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW LONDON CT 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLIP NY 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ELIZABETH CTY 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) CAPE HATTERAS 34 78 X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) CHERRY PT NC 34 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) NEW RIVER NC 34 59 X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) MOREHEAD CITY 34 50 X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) SURF CITY NC 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WILMINGTON NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Storm Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities Number 36

2017-08-29 10:59:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 290859 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017 0900 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GULFPORT MS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) STENNIS MS 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) BURAS LA 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) GFMX 280N 890W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSON MS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 9(18) 1(19) X(19) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 2 3( 5) 6(11) 4(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) GFMX 280N 910W 34 5 7(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) BATON ROUGE LA 34 3 6( 9) 12(21) 8(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MORGAN CITY LA 34 4 9(13) 11(24) 5(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 2 5( 7) 17(24) 14(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LAFAYETTE LA 34 6 12(18) 20(38) 7(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW IBERIA LA 34 6 14(20) 19(39) 6(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 930W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SHREVEPORT LA 34 1 1( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) FORT POLK LA 34 4 6(10) 23(33) 8(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FORT POLK LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LAKE CHARLES 34 13 19(32) 21(53) 4(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) LAKE CHARLES 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LAKE CHARLES 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CAMERON LA 34 31 23(54) 13(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) CAMERON LA 50 X 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) JASPER TX 34 4 7(11) 17(28) 5(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) JASPER TX 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KOUNTZE TX 34 10 12(22) 14(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 22 17(39) 13(52) 2(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GALVESTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GALVESTON TX 50 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HOUSTON TX 34 10 6(16) 6(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) AUSTIN TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FREEPORT TX 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 63 19(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) GFMX 280N 950W 50 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MATAGORDA TX 34 15 3(18) 2(20) X(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) PORT O CONNOR 34 8 1( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ROCKPORT TX 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2017-08-29 10:59:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 290859 PWSAT5 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017 0900 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) X(18) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 12(32) X(32) X(32) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WORCESTER MA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HARTFORD CT 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLIP NY 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PHILADELPHIA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DOVER DE 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 34 1 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK NAS 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK VA 34 3 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) OCEANA NAS VA 34 4 10(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ELIZABETH CTY 34 12 9(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) ROCKY MT NC 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 42 14(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) CAPE HATTERAS 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHERRY PT NC 34 30 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) NEW RIVER NC 34 46 X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) MOREHEAD CITY 34 40 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) SURF CITY NC 34 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) WILMINGTON NC 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) BALD HEAD ISL 34 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) LITTLE RIVER 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MYRTLE BEACH 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

Tags: number potential speed wind

 

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